cpdrc dcHealth ProFamy (A User-Friendly Software for Projections
of Households and Living Arrangements)
  International Conference and Training Workshop on Household & Living Arrangement Projections and Applications in Sustainable Development  
Time: 2018/9/10 [970]

May 9-11, 2019 in Beijing, China, Jointly organized by
China Population and Development Research Center, Center for Healthy Aging and Development Study and the Raissun Institute for Advanced Studies at the National School of Development, Peking University, and Center for Households and Consumption Forecasting of Digit China Health
Significance: Household & living Arrangements are pertinent in research and management of sustainable development because housing, energy-use (water, electricity and gas), food, furniture, vehicles, elderly care, children education, and other home-based services are often consumed/purchased by households rather than individuals. The front line of this field is forecasting future trends in households and living arrangements, which draws great interest in research, policy making and market analyses, and is the focus of the “International Conference on Household & Living Arrangement Projections and Applications in Sustainable Development” (May 9-10, 2019) and the Training Workshop on ProFamy (Web new version) free software for household & living arrangement projections (May 11, 2019).
Topics to be Presented/Discussed at the Conference, May 9-10, 2019 include: (1) Past, present and future trends in households & living arrangements and their implications for sustainable development; (2) Advantages and disadvantages of various methodologies for household & living arrangement projections; (3) Software and databases for household & living arrangement projections and applications; (4) Applications of household & living arrangement projections in socio-economic planning, socio-economic status analyses, policy analyses, elderly care needs/costs, children education and other home-based services, big data analyses, and market analyses of housing, home-based energy-use (such as water, electricity and gas), food, furniture, and vehicles, etc.; (5) Household & living arrangement projections at sub-national, county and small area levels; and (6) Other related topics.  
Training Workshop, May 11, 2019: The ProFamy approach for household and living arrangement projections has substantial merits as compared to the classic headship-rate method. The headship-rate method is not linked to demographic rates, projects only a few household types without size information, and deals with household "heads" (a vague and ill-defined concept) but excludes other household members. In contrast, ProFamy method uses conventional demographic data as input and projects detailed household types/sizes and living arrangements of all members of the population, including elderly, adults, and children, as well as detailed population size, age, and gender distributions. Published validation tests of households & living arrangements and population projections show that ProFamy method/ software work well for the United States, China and other countries at the national, state/province and county levels (see training workshop background information for details). ProFamy method and user-friendly & free software are further developed with support of “China National Health Safeguard Information System” implemented at China Population and Development Research Center and Digit China Health. This training workshop includes lectures, tutorials, and guided exercises on how to use the new version of ProFamy free software with Chinese and U.S. databases as models for application to other countries.
Logistics: Prof. Yi Zeng serves as Chair of the Academic Committee for this conference and training workshop. Interested scholars, governmental officers and business analysts are welcome to participate in the conference and/or training workshop. No registration fees will be charged and conference will cover lodging and food costs in Beijing for registered/invited participants. The participants will in general need to cover their own transportation costs, and the organizers have limited resource to provide partial travel supports to participants who used or plan to use ProFamy method/ software to project  households and living arrangements in their own countries and need financial assistance for travels.
Contacts: Please communicate your interest in participation and other logistics to Ms. Qian Wang (qwang@nsd.pku.edu.cn; Tel. 86-10-62753692) as soon as possible to enable us to plan in advance. Website of ProFamy:  www.profamy.com.cn.


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